I've also been following this thread closely, because I find it very interesting... thanks for taking the time to share this venture with all of us...
I would, however, like to comment on a couple of things:
This is 89% average intensity of MH and seems to be able to penetrate deeper then MH can w/ less drop off at great distance.
This just might be me, but the dropoff looks fairly linear, the same as with MH. The final reading gives me cause to question, as you lose 4500 lux between 18 to 24", yet between 24 to 36" (a twofold depth increase), you only lose a couple-hundred lux? That just seems odd to me.
3. due to low heat generation, may be mounted very close to water surface, this gives them an advantage because they can get much closer then MH, thus giving them the winning edge in my book
The only drawback with mounting them closely is unless they are completely sealed, you're going to get corrosion on the metal legs of the resistors and LED's, not to mention the solder joints... you're probably going to have to find a way to seal all the metal from the elements if you want the array to last beyond two to three years. With proper sealing, I think this will work great.
I've seen a few LUX readings of 10,000K bulbs and they were very close to the 20,000K bulb I have.
You must have found some dogs of 10K bulbs, because on average (like was mentioned before) 10K bulbs are at least twice as bright as their 20K counterparts... if you check out JB NY's bulb comparison (at
http://www.cnidarianreef.com), you can see his readings first-hand, though this was with single-ended bulbs... the comparison should carry over to HQI as well though for relative intensity versus bulb color temp.
Otherwise, once again, thanks for sharing... for a nano tank this array looks like it would be great... near-20K-halide intensity without the heat or electric bill... but like you said yourself, for anything larger it's probably going to be cost (and time) prohibitive.