I don't have hard numbers in front of me, but the Gulf waters are at least 4-5 degrees warmer than they were five or six years ago. I can't remember where I read that, but I remember thinking they were reputable. The temp swings are cyclical, but they seem to be more severe over the last few cycles. The warmer water in the gulf is what forms the nastier hurricanes. As they form near Africa, they move out into open ocean where the temps are a bit lower. As they move in toward the US, the waters get warmer. In the gulf, the extra warmth fuels hurricanes, creating the year they had last year (a bunch of nasty nasty storms). It's kind of like when a cold front meets a warm front. Larger pressure differences create worse the storms. Check out NOAA.gov. They have temperature mapping from satellites and articles on some of their studies in the gulf.