I agree that the discourse has been, though heated at times, basically civil. This demonstrates a remarkable flexibility and insight from the site's administrators, and a professional approach by those involved, with the possible exception of myself.
I have seen and am aware of much academic research done for its own sake, in response to various professional pressures, and not simply in pursuit of the advancement of science. Many fields of study are dominated by 'big dog' researchers with the ability to direct research, affect the careers of graduate students, and in general impose their vision on junior researchers, along with occasional appropriations of their work. The cast of characters in these academic dramas changes as various paradigms wax and wane.
I certainly did not intend at any time to suggest that anyone participating in this discussion was less than absolutely honest. I would not, however, extend that assessment to the overall field of scientific research, which is as corrupt as most other fields of human activity. If I seemed a bit cutting at times, it was in response to what sounded like certainties regarding a field in which a great deal is completely unknown, and which has seen emphemeral theories come and go, with echos of things long abandoned surviving because their quondam champions continue to hold influential academic positions.
I have no idea if the current theories described by Greenbean are accurate. As I read more in this area, it seems that some elements may be a trifle flimsy. This is in part due to the difficulty of gathering data in areas that by their nature resist quantification, and in part because of my lack of expertise.
There are multiple theories regarding coral reef problems circulating in the world of scientific research. Some are complimentary, and some are not. One of the more interesting theories concerns the massive dust storms that arise in Africa and deposit fine dust particles all over the Caribbean. It has been demonstrated that this phenomena has existed for millins of years, but it has also been demonstrated (Shinn, Prospero, et al) that during the last 50 years these dust particles have become saturated with man-made toxins derived from chemicals used in agriculture and pest control, and that many problems, including the urchin plague, have occured during particularly heavy toxic dust clouds events.
My guess is that many of the various theories have at least partial validity, and that their convergences will illuminate phenomena still poorly understood. Natural systems are dauntingly complex, and resist easy explanations or descriptions.