I was not meaning to undermine or play down the effects that commercial development has had on Jamaica's or any other country's reefs. The effects and correlations of sedimentation and nutrient runoff with declining reef health are well documented. This, probably more heavily so than other reasons, contributed to the declines - ESPECIALLY when you look at the steep population increases that island has seen in the last 30 years. All I was trying to add - and I think I above I said, "in addition to the development..." - was that fishing pressures are also a cause for concern.
Chronic overfishing is one of the major contributors to declining reef health, what I usually lump into, "the big three":
- Climate change fueling mass bleaching events which fuels disease
- Sedimentation and runoff and nutrient loading, often exacerbated by deforestation or mangrove removal
- Overfishing and destructive fishing
It really is a synergistic effect that has no easy solution.
I lived there for a year in the early 80s while on sabbatical, and spent a few summers there over the years. I lived with and among fisherman when I was there in the 70s, when the reefs were vibrant and extremely healthy. The impact of the small fishing community on herbivorous fishes was small. There were dense populations of Parrot Fishes.
Vibrant in terms of overall coral coverage, with A. cervicornis dominating the reefscape, but not in terms of large fish coverage - which will play into reef health.
Images from the 70s I have seen from Dr. Nancy Knowlton show virtually no big fish left in and around Discovery Bay - a favorite study site for then-aspiring marine biologists. They did not know back then b/c coral reef science was in its infancy, but on an "untouched reef," large groupers, snappers and sharks should be the majority of fish biomass on a healthy reef in an inverted biomass pyramid. It looked healthy, but they were establishing a new "shifting baseline." It is shifting b/c each new generation that lays eyes on a reef doesn't know how it "should" look. I'm sure it looked healthy to you back then as well - there was coral everywhere, but the fish were already gone.
To be certain, there are other factors at play in various reefs around the world, and it really is a multifaceted attack they are facing. Come back to it time and again, and the three factors listed above will show up.
In Jamaica's case, the mass, unchecked development, combined with the Caribbean's loss of the Diadema urchins, was likely the tipping point for their reefs, but uncontrolled fishing has not helped.
Bonaire has also seen rising ocean temperatures, development (granted, perhaps not on the scale of Jamaica) and the loss of Diadema urchins, but they have also limited fishing activities more than other Caribbean nations/islands. Bonaire has some of the better coral coverage in the Caribbean. But, it is still under threat and declining.
Don't get me wrong. Whenever I hear or read about another huge hotel development happening near a vibrant, healthy reef, I usually cringe b/c of the reasons you listed.
What it all amounts to is this - the closer a coral reef is to human activity, the less healthy it will be. It's a sad fact, but true nonetheless.
Cheers
Mike