LED's have been hanging over aquariums for 10 years, how long is it going to take?
I think it is starting too right now. If you read my past posts I have pretty much been saying all other types of lighting are better than led. I have never said leds cannot grow corals but colors on some shallow water sps are not as good due to limited spectrum especially UV. Self shading was a issue and really still is. I have said halides are the best overall for sps color and I prefer t-5 because energy saving and coverage.
Any how I have seen some pretty impressive sps tanks that are leds now.
I believe it is because of two things:
1.) One is UV is now being added to the spectrum. Kessil even has a small peak around 380 nm.. Could dip much lower yet! cost is a issue her yet.
2.) People are adding allot more leds which helps with self shading.
Like what is being said above that removes some of the advantages of leds. One, now they do not save you the electricity like they are supposed too and a watt of heat is a watt of heat so you no longer can look at them running cooler. But most people do not run leds at 100 percent. I think they could start running more leds but at lower watts. So technically I think a tank lit with leds still could save a little energy vs other technologies but not by allot.
I still think halides and leds provide the best light for sps but with LEDS dipping even more into the UV department it will get better.
At this point there are going to be so many leds fixtures the prices have to come down and will come down hard. That was another disadvantage of leds was cost of a fixture, even if they saved you money on energy you could never make up the cost of the fixture.
Controllability of leds is a big advantage.
Not changing lamps is a big advantage.
Being able to make nice sleek fixtures is a advantage.
My point is going forward I think the gap closes. I do not think anything will ever beat halides for color in sps corals ever but as the gap closes there the other advantages to leds that outweigh the disadvantages. It happened with t-5 lighting, one big disadvantage of t-5 was bulb changes and even though they produce close to as good of colors as halides they are now consider pretty good.
I think halides will be niche and be around for ever for those who want the best of the best and do not care about cost will use them but I think at this point the little loss in color the other advantages of leds might start cutting into the t-5 market and some halide.