Well, I'm planning out a 40breeder as well. More than likely predom. SPS. I've already got a 250SE, so I'm going to go w/ the 10k, or use the 14k I've already got. Plus an IC660 that will more than likely power some t5 HO's. If you are only going to go with a single bulb, the middle will be much brighter than the edge and possibly cast shadows, but the edges would still be good for some lowlight guys.
250w should be sufficient on this shallow tank.