Greenbean,
As you know, cyanide testing is fraught with difficulties, it is so biological active that it leaves little residue - so trace measurements of 18-40% is actually pretty damaging to your case, as it relects the reality that more than 50% of the fish still being collected with cyanide are being exported from Manila and Jakarta - knowing that many fish collected that way show negative test results later on down the supply chain.
In 2003 the WWF reports no abatement in the use of cyanide (although by the kilogram use-basis, it is still being used mostly for the Hong Kong live fish trade).
I've seen the changes that take place when cyanide collection becomes prevalent in a region - most notably when it took over the Jarkarta trade in the early 1980's. First it was only a decrease in the quality of adult imperators (They admitted that "batman fish" was being caught with "special method"). Then, everything went to crap. Same exporter (who is still in business by the way) same pack rate, inverts still high quality, but suddenly most of the fish were junk. An associate of mine had to go over there repeatedly to try to figure out what was going on. It turns out that the reality was that over 75% of the fish were being collected with cyanide - including ocellaris clownfish! Many Jakarta fish remain junk to this day - although fish originating in Bali are a bit better, despite the additional travel time.
Ultimately, the original poster was primarily concerned with "will the fish I buy survive?" So forget arguing about the actual cause (since there is no reliable test, you can't prove it either way) and just look at overall mortality rates. I've worked on this EXTENSIVELY, here is the synopsis of a study I did in 2006:
In the summer of 2006, we had a unique opportunity to test the efficacy of our methods at avoiding fish collected by unsavory means. The history of this event is as follows: A mixed shipment of fish and invertebrates destined for a pet store was confiscated by the USFWS and sent to us for holding. The manifest listed fish from a discount aquarium wholesaler and the species all originated from Indonesia and the Philippines. The shipment had originated the previous afternoon from the wholesaler in Los Angeles (probably the xxth largest such firm in the city). It was seized at XXX around 1pm and was acclimated to three of our quarantine systems by 6pm.
These same three quarantine systems also happened to house a new group of fish that had arrived a few days before. These fish included a mixture of MAC certified anthias and other species seleccted by the aquarium’s curator from one of the top two wholesalers in Los Angeles. There had been zero mortality in the control fish prior to the arrival of the confiscated shipment.
At the same time, a group of invertebrates that were confiscated along with the fish were acclimated to our two coral propagation systems.
Forty days following their arrival, 55.9% of the confiscated fish had died, 25% of the confiscated invertebrates had died, 0% of the control invertebrates were lost and only 6.2% of the curator-selected fish had died.
And things weren't any better when I wrote this is 2002 for my Advanced Marine Aquarium Techniques book:
C. TFH Publications
" Cyanide collection issue:
The collection of marine aquarium fishes with sodium cyanide has been well documented. Exporters handling these fish either categorically deny that this takes place, just side-step the issue, or quietly agree that while their fish are collected in this manner, maintain that no major harm is done to the captured fish or the reef structure itself during this process. In during 4 months in 1985, 448 directly imported reef fishes were tracked through the first 30 days following their importation: of this sample, 28.7% of these fish died. All fish were housed in a central water system that also held 11 control fish (None of which died during the study). 31% of the Philippine fish in the sample died. 9.3% of the non Philippine fish died. Many of the Philippine fish were hardy damselfish. When these were removed from the calculation, fully 61% of the non damsel Philippine fish died. The non Philippine fish (no hardy damsels in the samples) included those imported from Sri Lanka, Hawaii and the Seychelles.
After these facts are presented, many aquarists still feel that they are running up against a brick wall. All a fish dealer has to do is to advertise their fish as "net caught", and many of their customers blindly accept this as fact, and the dealer can then continue selling the same cyanide collected fish. Some have argued that there are other, more detrimental impacts to coral reefs than the use of cyanide. They cite pollution, siltation, dredging, and the harvest of coral as building material. Most agree that these other impacts ARE major problems, but that does not allow anyone to condone this added insult to coral reefs! That is just like a person saying that it is ethical to make a copy of a friend's computer program for their own use, since this sort of thing happens on a much larger scale all the time in major corporations. "